Sri Lanka: On The Edge of “Perish" - NYT Article from 1974

The following article was originally published in the New York Times on May 13, 1974, during the economic recession of the Island Nation. 

by Bernard Weinraub Special to The New York Times

May 13, 1974

At dawn hundreds of people wait in bread lines. Elderly men and women pick through garbage. Thieves harvest vegetables and rice in the countryside.

Although the earth is bountiful in Sri Lanka, which was formerly Ceylon, the nation of 13 million has a critical food shortage. Moreover, it is going broke, jolted by inflation, torn by internal dissension and plainly alarmed about the future.

Prime Minister Sirimavo Bandaranaike, a tough politician and a Socialist, said recently that the economic crisis had “almost squeezed the breath out of us—we are literally fighting to survive.”

Mrs. Bandaranaike, who is the target of bitter attack, repeatedly pronounces a single, stark slogan for her nation: “Produce or perish.”

People Are Well Fed

What makes the crisis at once melancholy and bizarre is that the Ceylonese, because of Government largesse, have been among the best fed, best educated and healthiest people in South Asia. Their fertile tropical Indian Ocean island, the size of West Virginia, is covered with dense vegetation.

Perhaps the fundamental reason for Sri Lanka's plight is that the cost of food imports has spiraled while export earnings have remained stationary. A blend of Government mismanagement of farmland, meager incentives to growers, the take‐over of private estates under land reform and the residue of colonial tradition—the British ignored food production to spur tea and rubber exports—has left a lush nation virtually begging for rice and wheat.

At one stage last month, some sources say, Sri Lanka had only two weeks’ rice supply in stock. An emergency shipment of 40,000 tons from China averted an immediate crisis. Other nations selling food here are Australia, Pakistan, the Soviet Union, Canada, the United States and even India, which has serious food problems of her own.

A diplomat remarked that Sri Lanka was living a ship-to‐mouth existence.” An economist said: “The country is now operating on a week‐to-week basis. We check how much comes in and how much goes out. We don't think beyond the week. We can't.”

$2‐Billion in Debt

The nation is about 2‐billion in debt to other, nations and is increasingly unable to get loans because of its poor credit position. This year it will spend about two‐thirds of its foreign‐exchange earnings, or about $300‐million, just on imports of rice and wheat, whose cost has tripled in the last two years.

In the meantime, the key exports — tea, rubber and coconut, which account for 80 per cent of the foreign exchange earnings — have failed to generate enough to meet the food bills. The reasons for this include fertilizer shortages, bureaucratic restrictions and low investment in new equipment, plus export prices, especially of tea, which have not followed those of grain.

“It's a spectacular nonachievement,” an economist said. “They're Importing 50 per cent more than they're exporting. They're broke, and because they're forced to spend so much money on food, they have very little left for petroleum, fertilizer and manufactured products to keep the economy going.”

Compounding the crisis, according to critics of the Government, is an ideological addiction to take‐overs, coupled with a tradition of far‐reaching social‐welfare measures, which are extravagent and perhaps crippling.

Big Rise in Population

Even Ceylonese concede that the decades‐old system of free medical care, free education and free food dole each week to every nontaxpayer — the vast majority —has proved economically unfeasible, especially with a population that has doubled in 25 years. In addition the Government subsidizes and underwrites wheat, sugar and flour at unrealtistic low prices.

It would be political suicide to end the handouts, and Mrs. Bandaranaike's coalition United Front was swept to power in 1973 on the promise of supplying more free rice than ever.

Now the Government has cut the ration of rice, flour and sugar to about three pounds a week, compared with as much as 10 pounds a week in the nineteen‐fifties. The rice ration is about a pound and a half a week. compared with four pounds last spring.

An indication of the topsy-turvy quality of politics is that the Opposition leader, J. R. Jayewardene of the United National Party, said that he would make the food ration eight pounds a week if he came to power.

Because of the free education in a nation where half the population is under 30—and because the floundering economy is still based on agriculture — about 700,000 educated people are without jobs. This is a main source of unrest.

In 1971 this group staged an insurrection against the Government that was quietly but harshly crushed by security forces. The number of insurgents rounded up and killed runs in the thousands.

Mrs. Bandaranaike, whose husband, S.W.R.D. Bandaranaike, was assassinated in 1959 when he was Prime Minister, heads an anticapitalist coalition of three parties — her own Sri Lanka Freedom party, ‘which’ em7, phasizes “demetratic socialism,” the pro‐Moscow Communist party and the Troskyite Lanka Sama Samaja party.

Private investment is under severe constraints and the Government has spurred a measure that allows the nationalization of any company—a move that has virtually dried up foreign investment.

A ceiling on disposable income of $330 a month after taxes as well as limitation of landholdings to 50 acres has further curtailed investment and production.

The only salvation lies in making the country self-sufficient,” the Prime Minister told a May Day crowd. “We are facing a crisis such as the’ country has never yet faced In its history.”