Nine Tamil youths escape from LTTE bondage

(October, 31, Trincomalee, Sri Lanka Guardian) Nine Tamil youths who fled from LTTE captivity sought refuge at the Sri Lanka Navy and Police Fishing Marshalling Point at Pallemunai in Mannar 30th October 2007 around 7.15 a.m according to a milittary source.
Preliminary investigations revealed they had arrived from Papamotai and cited several instances of harassment, abduction, forcible conscription and killings meted out by the LTTE to those who defy the terror outfit’s dictates as their main reason for escaping from the LTTE clutches, he added.

All the escapees are males in the age group of 18 – 26. They were in the prime of youth. They had expressed their desire to live a normal life enjoying the benefits available to their counterparts residing elsewhere in the country where normalcy prevails.

There were two youths aged 18 from Mannar and another two aged 24 and 26 from Mullaitivu. One youth, aged 19, had escaped all the way from Jaffna. The rest were from Kilinochchi and were aged 21, 22, 24 and 25 respectively.

One youth talking to the security forces perrsonnel stated that they were taken forcibly from their homes for training in LTTE camps. They had fled from their training camp since they found the training hard and declined fighting. Another claimed that they were forcibly retained at the training camp under harsh conditions.

"They lacked food and no place to sleep while in training. They were not given medical treatment when they fell ill. All said in unison that they all had to look after their aging parents and had family members who were dependent on them for financial support,"the soucre also said.

The Social and Economic Cost of an Abortive Peace

(October, 31, Colombo, Sri Lanka Guardian) At the recent Counter Terrorism Conference in Colombo, organized by the Lakshman Kadirgamar Institute for International Relations and Strategic Studies, there was a session on the ‘Socio-Economic Costs of Terrorism’. The speaker and the two discussants showed very graphically how much terrorism and efforts to deal with it have cost the country in recent years. The general thrust of their remarks was that peace would provide very positive benefits in contrast to the costs that are now being incurred.

This proposition is unquestionable. However, some of the factors touched on in the presentations also indicated that the pursuit of peace requires great care. Some of the points made indicated that the abortive peace process of 2002 and 2003 had greatly magnified the current cost of the war.

It was noted for instance that the defence budget had risen over the last few years, and in particular after the revelation of LTTE aerial capacity. What was not mentioned was that the LTTE had developed this capacity during the 2002/2003 period when the then Sri Lankan government was avidly pursuing peace. During those two years the Sri Lankan defence budget was reduced, which is one reason why it has now to run twice as hard as before just to stay in the same place.

For we know that in those years the LTTE was bringing in weapons at a rate. The destruction by the LTTE of an entire ship when one of the Norwegian monitors found a gun on board made clear the level at which the LTTE was building up its arsenal during this period. Indeed, whereas the SLMM seems to have tried to prevent such a blatant violation of the Ceasefire, the government had tried to dissuade the navy from stopping the ship.

There is no need to suppose any sinister motivation behind this action, given the general desire to appease that characterized the approach of that government to the Peace Process. What is forgotten however is how expensive that appeasement proved. It contributed to the failure to prevent arms being brought in, the failure to stop the construction of an airstrip at Iranamadu, the failure to stop the build up of offensive emplacements at Sampur and elsewhere. When we look at our defence costs now, we have to realize that these have shot up precisely because of the need to defend ourselves against the offensive strength built up during the abortive Peace Process.

And it was not only a matter of omission. There was also the active assistance to the LTTE, in the form for instance of the sophisticated telecommunications equipment imported through the Norwegians and sadly delivered to the LTTE through this Peace Secretariat, on the instructions of the Prime Minister’s office. Indeed we even had to pay duty for vehicles brought in for the use of the LTTE, though this was subsequently reimbursed by the Treasury.

Then there was all the assistance permitted, nay encouraged, by the government to be supplied direct to the LTTE. There was for instance the $1 million dollars given by UNICEF for rehabilitation, money which has not led to any tangible results or been properly accounted for. More recently attention has been drawn to an even greater amount that came through Save the Children, supposedly to be used for rehabilitation work. In many such instances there is a lack of clarity about what was given and whether anything was achieved. I believe there has been no attempt to collate information about all such donations thus far, but this should be done as a matter of urgency, given how these funds too have contributed to the war efforts of the LTTE, and hence to our rising defence costs.

Some of this money we hoped had been used for the people suffering under LTTE control, though little of this was visible amongst those now liberated in the East. Some we hoped had been used to promote peace. But recent events suggest that such hopes are unrealistic. To deal with matters particularly close to us, whereas this Peace Secretariat received was set up with $2 million dollars from the Norwegians, the LTTE Secretariat received I am told $30 million. The sort of use made of such money was made patently clear last week when they proudly circulated pictures of the suicide cadres sacrificed by the organization in the attack on the Anuradhapura Air Base. It is to be hoped that at least at this late stage the Norwegians, and those others who – with the full agreement of the Sri Lankan government at the time – ploughed in money in the belief that it would bring peace, will realize the ends to which their contributions are used.

The funding referred to above was what might be termed official funding. In addition the period of the Peace Process allowed for much more concerted fundraising. Some of this was legal, given the great fillip the recognition of the LTTE as virtually an equal partner gave them. It is in this period for instance that we find respected financiers amongst others attaching themselves, understandably enough, to the LTTE bandwagon – and of course now unable to let go of the tiger’s tale.

But while this new found respectability made collection easier, it also made extortion easier. It led too to the concerted raising of revenue through taxation to which the then government turned a blind eye. Thus, even recently, I found the SLMM referring to an LTTE Customs House, whereas what they should have mentioned was a building used by the LTTE to extort illegal taxes. Certainly the massive amounts raised by the LTTE as taxation on the movement of goods and people along the A 9 would have justified a much earlier closure of it by the government, which however kept it open on humanitarian grounds until the ruthless assault at Muhumalai in August 2006.

And we have to remember that all this money was raised even while the Sri Lankan government continued, as now, to pay for government services throughout the areas controlled by the LTTE. This does not mean just the services governments provide in most countries, it includes the whole gamut of social services Sri Lanka provides to all its citizens, including free health, free education from infancy to university, free school uniforms, free school books.

With the government paying the salaries too of all officials in the LTTE controlled areas, even while with government acquiescence the LTTE started controlling these officials too, what did the LTTE spend its money on? Both the funds it received officially and those it obtained through extortion, taxation and otherwise? It was not only on weapons, not only on airstrips and gun emplacements, it was also on bunkers and extensive training as was forced on the poor girls dragged off to Sencholai and elsewhere.

The present government has to deal with all this. All this has added to the cost of countering terrorism. This is why, while the government remains as always open to negotiations, it must ensure that the cost of any abortive negotiation does not affect future generations as badly as the 2002/2003 peace negotiations did.

That experience made it clear that the LTTE uses negotiations to build up its own strength. Beginning from the time of the Thimpu talks, which it used to destroy TELO, this has been its practice. In 2002 it did its best to destroy other Tamil groups, by calculated murder after the disarming it had insisted on, and had the added bonus of a government that allowed it to build up an offensive armoury and fortifications at will. Having achieved what it wanted it withdrew from talks in April 2003.

It is conceivable that it only returned to negotiations in February 2006 because it wanted to pull off the same trick, and kill off the Karuna faction after it had ensured its disarmament. That attempt failed, and then it came back to talks in June and October perhaps hoping to open up again its avenues of supply, along with its ability to raise funds.

Fortunately this government has proved more sensible than its predecessors. This does not mean it should close the doors to talks. But then, no Sri Lankan government has ever refused to talk. The bottom line is that talks must be unconditional, and should not end up costing the nation even more than before. That message should be made clear to the LTTE by all those who are as anxious as we are for talks, whose generous contributions during the abortive Peace Talks were used for such nefarious ends by the LTTE as recent events have made all too clear.

(The Statement released by the Secretariat for Coordinating the Peace Process)

President Calls for All Parties to Unit

By Kannan Padhmanabhan

(October, 31, Los Angeles, Sri Lanka Guardian) President Mahinda Rajapakse has called for all political parties to unite and support the Government of Sri Lanka in its "War against Terror". The President on the other hand has given little support to Tamil political parties that are part of the democratic mainstream other than the EPDP and CWC, namely PLOTE, TULF, EROS, EPRLF (P), and the TMVP.

The Government of Sri Lanka has failed to back these political parties and give them the support they need. All of these parties are opposed to the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). President Mahinda Rajapakse made several promises to representatives of these parties and none of them have been honoured. Minister Douglas Devananda of the EPDP and Minister A. Thondaman of the CWC have been the only ones getting the financial support and security arrangements for all its party members.

When a representative of the Eelam Revolutionary Organisation (EROS) was refused to comment and simply stated that "the Government of Sri Lanka is giving EROS all the support required and if other political parties need support, or assistance they should come forward and address their concerns with the President", he stated.

The EPDP is reluctant to allow any other Tamil political party to get as much support and assistance from the Government of Sri Lanka as they do. The EPDP is partly responsible for influencing the Government of Sri Lanka in withdrawing some of its support towards the TMVP otherwise known as the Karuna Faction. All Minister Douglas Devananda seems interested in is his “political clout and power” and not the needs and aspirations of the Tamil speaking community of Sri Lanka. He is nothing more than a “puppet” of the Government of Sri Lanka.

It would be very difficult for any political party to support the Governments "War on Terror" if they offer little or no support to the Tamil political parties. What President Mahinda Rajapakse ought to really do is put words into action by inviting all representatives of these political parties and giving them all the support needed. This is the only way the democratic Tamil political parties will be united and be in a position to support the Government of Sri Lanka.

Insurgency in North East India (Part 01)

(October, 31, Dhaka, Sri Lanka Guardian) The ULFA has a clearly partitioned political and military wing. Paresh Barua heads the military wing as the outfit's 'commander-in-chief'. Following the military operations in Bhutan in December 2003, most of its top leadership reportedly operates from unspecified locations. According to reports, ULFA is in the process of relocating its camps in Myanmar, Mon district of Nagaland, Garo hills of Meghalaya and Tirap and Changlang districts of Arunachal Pradesh.

By: Isha Khan from Dhaka

Formation of ULFA

Asom Sanjukta Mukti Morcha or the United Liberation Front of Asom (ULFA) was formed on April 7, 1979 by Bhimakanta Buragohain, Rajiv Rajkonwar alias Arabinda Rajkhowa, Golap Baruah alias Anup Chetia, Samiran Gogoi alias Pradip Gogoi, Bhadreshwar Gohain and Paresh Baruah at the Rang Ghar in Sibsagar to establish a "sovereign socialist Assam" through an armed struggle.

War Cry: Joi Ai Asom

Leadership:
Arabinda Rajkhowa is the 'Chairman' of ULFA. 'Vice Chairman' Pradip Gogoi was arrested on April 8, 1998 , and is currently in judicial custody at Guwahati. 'General Secretary' Anup Chetia is under detention in the Bangladeshi Dhaka after being arrested on December 21, 1997. The outfit's founding member and ideologue Bhimakanta Buragohain, 'Publicity Secretary' Mithinga Daimary and 'Assistant Secretary' Bolin Das were arrested during the military operations in Bhutan in December 2003. Earlier, 'Cultural Secretary' Pranati Deka was arrested at Phulbari in the West Garo Hills district of Meghalaya.

Other leaders are: Bhimkanta Buragohin, Pradip Gogoi alias Samiran Gogoi, Mithinga Daimari, Pranati Deka and Ramu Mech ,Mithinga Daimary (real name Dipak Das),The cultural secretary of the Ulfa, Pranati Deka hails from Nalbari district. She is the wife of the group's finance secretary Chitrabon Hazarika. She was first arrested from a Mumbai hospital in 1996. Later, she was released on bail in 1998 only to be arrested again at Phulbari, Meghalaya in 2003 while trying to escape.

The ULFA has a clearly partitioned political and military wing. Paresh Barua heads the military wing as the outfit's 'commander-in-chief'. Following the military operations in Bhutan in December 2003, most of its top leadership reportedly operates from unspecified locations. According to reports, ULFA is in the process of relocating its camps in Myanmar, Mon district of Nagaland, Garo hills of Meghalaya and Tirap and Changlang districts of Arunachal Pradesh.

Areas of Activity and Influence

The ULFA's organisational structure is divided into four zones:
East Districts(Purb Mandal)
West Districts(Paschim Mandal)
Central Districts(Madhya Mandal)
South Districts(Dakshin Mandal)

Sanjukta Mukti Fouj (SMF):

A military wing of the ULFA, the Sanjukta Mukti Fouj (SMF) was formed on March 16, 1996 . SMF has three full-fledged battalions (Bn): the 7th, 28th and 709th. The remaining battalions exist only on paper - at best they have strengths of a company or so. Their allocated spheres of operation are:

7th Bn (HQ- Sukhni) Responsible for defence of GHQ
8th Bn Nagaon, Morigaon, Karbi Anglong
9th Bn Golaghat, Jorhat, Sibsagar
11th Bn Kamrup, Nalbari
27th Bn Barpeta, Bongaigaon, Kokrajhar
28th Bn Tinsukia, Dibrugarh
709th Bn Kalikhola

Links and camps:
The ULFA sought shelter in the forests on the Indo-Bhutan border from the early 1990s and established several camps in the forest areas of southern Bhutan. Over the years, it reportedly developed linkages with several officers and personnel of the Royal Bhutan Army (RBA) and Police - which ensured, among other things, a steady flow of rations, logistical support as well as aid and contacts for money laundering. The ULFA's Bhutan set-up had a reported strength of around 2000 cadres spread across the outfit's 'General Head Quarters', it's 'Council Head Quarters', a 'Security Training Camp' and a well-concealed 'Enigma Base'. Numbering around 13 in all, the major camps of the ULFA in Bhutan included:

1. Mithundra
2. Gobarkunda
3. Panbang
4. Diyajima
5. Pemagatsel Complex
i. Khar
ii. Shumar
iii. Nakar
6. Chaibari
7. Marthong
8. Gerowa
9. Sukhni (Merungphu): 'General HQ'
10. Melange
11. Phukaptong: 'Council HQ'
12. Dalim-Koipani (Orang)
13. Neoli Debarli

Most camps and other establishment of the ULFA were in Sandrup Jongkhar, a district in southern Bhutan that borders Assam's Nalbari district. The RBA is reported to have destroyed all the outfit's camps and observation posts during the military operations launched in December 2003.

In 1986, ULFA first established contacts with the then unified National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN) and the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) of Myanmar for training and arms. ULFA linked up with the Kachins through the 'good offices' of the Naga rebels. It learnt the rudiments of insurgent tactics from the Kachins (who reportedly charged Rupees 100,000 per trainee). Subsequently, links were established with Pakistan 's Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) and the Afghan Mujahideen. Reports indicate that at least 200 ULFA activists received training in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

To be continued

Isha Kahan is Journalist based in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Email- bdmailer@gmail.com

Suicide Strike in Pindi on Bajaur Air-Srike Anniversary

The Bajaur madrasa was run by the TNSM. Eighty students were killed in the air raid. The tribals alleged that the madrasa was bombed by a US plane from Afghanistan. This was refuted by the Pakistan Army, which claimed that it had carried out the attack since it had information that the madrasa was training people for terrorist operations.

(October, 31, Chennai, Sri Lanka Guardian) On the first anniversary of the air strike on a madrasa of the Tehrik-e-Nifaz-e-Shariat-e-Mohammadi (TNSM) in the Bajaur Agency, which fell on October 30,2007, an unidentified suicide bomber in his early 20s blew himself up near a police security barrier in a high security area of Rawalpindi. Apart from the suicide terrorist himself, three police officers and four passers-by were killed. The police security barrier controls access to an area where the Army House, which is the official residence of Gen.Pervez Musharraf as the Chief of the Army Staff (COAS), and the official house of Gen.Tariq Majeed, the newly-appointed Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, are located.

Till December 2003, Musharraf preferred living in the Army House at Rawalpindi. After the two unsuccessful attempts to assassinate him in December,2003, he is reported to be living in the President's House in Islamabad. However, he comes often to the office of the COAS in the General Headquarters (GHQ) in Rawalpindi to attend to his work as the COAS. He was reportedly in his office in the GHQ at the time of the explosion.

According to the "Dawn" of Karachi (October 31), among the injured were three policemen and eight others belonging to the security staff of the President.Both Gen.Musharraf and Gen.Tariq Majeed figure on top of the hit list of Al Qaeda and other jihadi terrorist organisations. Tariq Majeed supervised the commando raid into the Lal Masjid in Islamabad between July 10 to 13,2007, in which about 300 tribal girls studying in a girls' madrasa of the masjid were allegedly killed.

No organisation has so far claimed responsibility for the attack, but the needle of suspicion points to the TNSM as well as the survivors of the Lal Masjid raid, who have taken a vow to avenge the death of the young girls. This is the fourth attack directed at military targets since then. Two of the previous suicide attacks directed at militatry personnel were in Rawalpindi and one was directed at the officers of the Special Services Group(SSG), the elite US-trained commando group which carried out the Lal Masjid raid allegedly killing 300 tribal girls, who resisted the raid.Twelve SSG officers were killed when a suicide bomber, suspected to be an SSG officer, blew himself up in their headquarters mess at Tarbella at the time of dinner.There have been a number of other suicide strikes directed at Police and other targets since the Lal Masjid raid, but none of them has been detected so far.

There has been violent fighting between members of the TNSM and the para-military forces in the Swat Valley of the North-West Frontier Province (NWFP) since October 25,2007, resulting in the death of 30 members of the TNSM and 20 para-military personnel. After a temporary cease-fire on October 29, 2007, to enable the two sides to collect their dead and injured, the fighting has resumed. Many of the tribal girls, who preished in the Lal Masjid raid, were children of tribals from the Swat Valley.

The Bajaur madrasa was run by the TNSM. Eighty students were killed in the air raid. The tribals alleged that the madrasa was bombed by a US plane from Afghanistan. This was refuted by the Pakistan Army, which claimed that it had carried out the attack since it had information that the madrasa was training people for terrorist operations. On November 8,2006, 45 Pakistani army recruits undergoing training at a Punjab Regimental Centre training school at Dargai, 100 kms north of Peshawar in the NWFP, were killed and many others injured early in the morning when a suspected suicide bomber ran towards them and blew himself up. Pakistani investigators believed that the suicide attack was in reprisal for the air attack on the madrasa .

Mrs.Benazir Bhutto is reported to be planning to address a public meeting at Rawalpindi on November 8,2007.Since the first anniversary of the Dargai attack falls on that day, this could act as a red rag to the jihadi bull.

The first anniversary of the air attack was observed all over the Bajaur Agency on October 30,2007.. Anti-US and anti-Musharraf processions were taken out.

( B. Raman is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. E-mail: seventyone2@gmail.com )

China, Sri Lanka sign loan pact on port project

(October, 31, Colombo, Sri Lanka Guardian) The Sri Lankan government and Chinas Exim Bank Tuesday signed a financial agreement to fund the Hambantota harbor project in Sri Lanka’s deep south.

According to the agreement signed by the two parties, China's Exim Bank will provide an export buyers credit of 360 million U.S. dollars for the project in Hambantota, about 240 km south east of Colombo.

Li Ruogu, chairman of Chinas Exim Bank, and P. B.Jayasundara,secretary to Sri Lanka’s Finance Ministry, signed the agreement on behalf of the two sides.

Li said his bank was very happy to support one of Sri Lanka’s largest development projects and he hoped the project a success.

“The primary tive of the Hambantota project is to synchronize different aspects of development such as shipping, trans-shipment, shipbuilding, and catering to increase exports and imports, for which the Port of Colombo does not have enough space and facilities,’ top level diplomatic source observed.

However, "China is all set to drop anchor at India's southern doorstep. An agreement has been finalized between Sri Lanka and China under which the latter will participate in the development of a port project at Hambantota on the island's south coast,” high level Indian diplomatic source told the Sri Lanka Guardian.

The Indian Ocean is a critical waterway for global trade and commerce. Half the world's containerized freight, a third of its bulk cargo and two-thirds of its oil shipments travel through the Indian Ocean. It provides major sea routes connecting Africa, the Middle East, South Asia and East Asia with Europe and the Americas and is home to several critical chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz and the Strait of Malacca

Welcome to my heart

Welcome to my heart

By Victor Karunairajan

Welcome to my heart
And its honey-laid core
To share God’s blessings
Of love and compassion

Sweetly stored in nectar
Collected far and wide
From blossoms of culture
Of nations and people.

Inlaid in each chamber
Are artifacts of joy
Gathered in the spirit
Of human enhancement

Essenced in interactions
With communities of folks
From nations and lands
Around the world our home

Though rooted in habitats
We amble and meander
In gradual evolution
Thru great civilizations.

Truly we are blessed
By rivers and streams
Ganga and the Indus
Euphrates and Tigris
Yangtsekiang and Nile
And many Golden Ages
Throughout the world
That enriched our kind.

When we act together
And relate to each other
We bring to our hearts
And its many chambers
Civilizations’ spirit
Its soul and psyche
And rich understanding
With perceptions of peace.

Welcome to my heart
And its honey-laid core
Garnered and chambered
From many, many lands
With joy and happiness
Precious and prized
From one human family
Shared lovingly by all.


Victor Karunairajan, a journalist with extensive East-West experience has had an exciting career having worked with Anglican, CSI and Catholic institutions, a Buddhist organization and a socialist government in as many as seven countries. He has been a parents' leader of Jaffna College which he served as member of its Board of Directors and for four years, a member of the Jaffna Diocesan Council. Recently he wrote and published a book on the Dances of India which was very popularly received.(October, 31, Toronto, Sri Lanka Guardian)

Sri Lanka prominent in foreign prisoner league table

(October, 30, London, Sri Lanka Guardian) The British government disclosed rapid rise in the number of foreign prisoners. There are currently 11,000 – amounting to a seventh of the overall population in England and Wales.

They are one of the main drivers of the overcrowding prison crisis that has pushed the total above 80,000.

The prison population is now made up of people from 164 different countries.

In the Commons on October 24th, the Prime Minister Gordon Brown said he was seeking agreements with several overseas governments to take back their prisoners.

''We will do more by signing agreements with countries like Jamaica which have 1,400 foreign prisoners in British cells; Nigeria, which has more than 1,000 foreign prisoners in British cells; Vietnam and China — 400 and 300 prisoners in British cells," he said.

"We will sign agreements with these countries so we can return prisoners as expeditiously as possible."

However, similar agreements already exist with more than 100 countries and yet the number of foreign prisoners continues to rise.

A deal was reached last year whereby EU nationals could serve their sentences in their own countries but has yet to be implemented. This would remove about 2,000 from British jails, though 800 British criminals in jail elsewhere in the EU would be repatriated.

The annual cost of keeping 11,000 foreign inmates is nearly £350 million. Just removing the Jamaican prisoners would save £49 million a year.

The reasons behind the rise in foreign prisoners are the high levels of immigration in recent years and rising drug trafficking. Prison Service figures show that the vast majority, especially women, have committed drug offences.

If there were not so many foreign inmates, there would not be a population crisis in the prisons. In 1996, there were fewer than 5,000 overseas prisoners and the scale of the increase in foreign nationals has far outstripped the rise in British inmates.

Apart from the two foreign-only jails, there are two prisons – Verne, in Dorset, and Morton Hall, Lincs – where foreign nationals make up half of the population. In a further 16 jails, they make up a quarter of the total.

The Government was reviewing whether to create more prisons just for foreigners.

Main nationalities in our jails:

Jamaica 1,464, Nigeria 1,061,Irish Republic 653,Pakistan 419,Vietnam 406,Somalia 356,India 315,China 312,Poland 312,Iraq 264,Turkey 225,South Africa 210,Ghana 207 ,Iran 194, Zimbabwe 194 ,Algeria 193,Lithuania 191,Portugal 183 ,France 170 ,Sri Lanka 169 ,Bangladesh 167 ,Romania 150,Albania 148,Netherlands 132,Germany 129,Columbia 124,Russia 113,Congo 111 ,Italy 106,USA 103

Though Sri Lanka is in the lower part of the list, many of those held were involved in gang related violence, credit card fraud and various other serious crimes including murders. Sri Lankan criminality is part and parcel of the decades old civil war and the violence that is ravaging that country unabated. This island is now exporting a good number of criminals many already well groomed in violence; even terrorism. A nation that was once famous for tea has now fallen from that pedestal. The terrible price it is paying for racial discrimination seems beyond the understanding of the country's politicians.

'What Is Good for India Is Good for the World'

(October, 30, New Delhi, Sri Lanka Guardian) Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh talks about German Chancellor Angela Merkel's visit to India this week, nuclear cooperation with the United States and criticisms of India's position on Burma.

Q: Dr. Singh, German Chancellor Angela Merkel will be in New Delhi this week. Her entourage, which includes some of Germany's top executives, scientists and politicians, will fill two Airbus planes. The scale of the visit is a bit surprising considering that Germany and India have no historical links. Why are the two countries suddenly so important for each other?

Singh: Who says we are not historically linked? Our first trade contacts date back to 1505, when ships financed by the Fugger family from Augsburg landed in Goa. Your great poet Goethe was enormously inspired by Sanskrit texts.

Q: But that doesn't help explain why Chancellor Merkel is undertaking her longest overseas trip to date. Where precisely do the two countries' mutual interests lie?

Singh: It is no secret that trade and investment have been growing rapidly. And then there has always been close scientific and technological cooperation between our two countries. Most importantly, however, Germany and India are both democracies and believe in human rights. This makes the relations far easier and smoother than with many other countries. We also cooperate with Germany on global issues through the European Union and the G-8 as well as other international forums. We have also, through the G-4 framework, presented our joint candidature for permanent membership in the UN Security Council. Seldom do two leading countries enjoy such a harmonious relationship.

Q: Nevertheless, there is great disharmony within your own country over the planned nuclear deal with the United States, which will allow international monitoring of India's civil nuclear power stations in exchange for technological know-how. Your own coalition partners, the Left Front, vehemently oppose the Indian-US nuclear deal. Is it all but dead?

Singh: I take your point, but I am still of the opinion that we will reach a consensus soon. The Indian-US nuclear deal will considerably improve and consolidate India's energy supply. And what is good for India is good for the world.

Q: Many countries would beg to differ. India, a nuclear power, has consistently refused to sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. In a phone call to US President George W. Bush last year, Chancellor Merkel herself criticized the Indian-US nuclear deal.

Singh: Chancellor Merkel, who has herself campaigned intensively for renewable energy since the last G-8 summit, has no reason to worry. Yes, we do have an ambitious domestic nuclear power program and want to raise the proportion of nuclear power in the overall energy mix. But it is also well established that we want to look at all available fuel options and forms of sustainable and environment-friendly energy. International cooperation can play an important role in that endeavor. Take the German-Indian Energy Forum, for example. German companies are already supplying equipment for the Indian power sector, and we are already working together on energy efficiency, clean coal technology and renewables. For the business delegation accompanying the chancellor to India, the trip will not be in vain.

Q: But will the failure of the Indian-US nuclear deal reduce India's chances of a seat on the United Nations Security Council?

Singh: Where do you see the connection?

Q: The United States could vehemently oppose India's efforts.

Singh: One should look at the advantages of expanding the Security Council: Germany and India could both play a very constructive role. Reform of the Security Council, we believe, is essential for enhancing both the legitimacy and effectiveness of the UN. The UN must reflect the contemporary realities of the 21st century.

Q: But then India would have to take a more decisive stance on sensitive issues like Burma. At the moment, one has the impression that India has been evading the question. Or has New Delhi been tolerating Burma's military junta only because Burma, as an oil and gas supplier, is crucial to India's growing energy needs?

Singh: Like Germany and the EU, India too wants peace and stability in South Asia and we are working together to bring that about. But please remember that in such crises the ability to keep a sense of proportion is often far more effective than shrill condemnation and sanctions.

Q: For several years, German universities have been trying to woo Indian students. But Indians still seem to prefer countries like the United States and Canada. What are the Germans doing wrong?

Singh: Germany could consider providing incentives such as scholarships and employment opportunities, and, most importantly, put in place a visa regime which makes it easier to enter the country. Germany is a leader in higher education, particularly in the area of technology. We would welcome more Indian students benefiting from Germany's strengths, but we would also like to see more German scholars and academics in India.

Interview conducted by Padma Rao to German based “Spiegel”

Dayan Jayatilleka to address Globalization Forum

(October, 30, Geneva, Sri Lanka Guardian) Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka, Ambassador and Permanent Representative of Sri Lanka to the United Nations at Geneva will address the ILO Forum on Decent Work for a Fair Globalization to be held in Lisbon, Portugal from 31st October to 2nd November 2007, according to official press statement released by the Embassy.

“He will speak at the opening plenary session in his capacity as Chairperson of the ILO Governing Body for the year 2007-2008.”

“The Minister for Labour and Social Solidarity of Portugal, José Antonio Viera Da Silva will also address the opening plenary,” the statement added.

The Prime Minister of Portugal, José Sócrates, the Secretary-General designate of ASEAN, Surin Pitsuwan and the Director-General of the ILO, Juan Somavia will be the keynote speakers.

Furthermore, the statement says “the Government of Portugal played a leading role in the organization of the ILO Forum on Decent Work for a Fair Globalization, which was also generously backed by the European Commission.”

Jayantha Dhanapala has been elected as the new President of the Pugwash

(October, 30, Colombo, Sri Lanka Guardian) Jayantha Dhanapala has been elected as the new President of the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs. The Pugwash Council, meeting in Bari, Italy, unanimously elected Dhanapala on the occasion of the 50 anniversary of the first Pugwash Conference.

Dhanapala is the eleventh person to hold the title. He follows in the footsteps of such eminent scientists and thinkers as founder Bertrand Russell, and former presidents Dorothy Crowfoot Hodgkin, M.S. Swaminathan, and Sir Joseph Rotblat. He will work together with members of the Pugwash Council, a highly distinguished group of 31 internationally-respected scientists and policy figures.

The purpose of the Pugwash Conferences is to bring together, from around the world, influential scholars and public figures concerned with reducing the danger of armed conflict and seeking cooperative solutions for global problems. Meeting in private as individuals, rather than as representatives of governments or institutions, Pugwash participants exchange views and explore alternative approaches to arms control and tension reduction. The Pugwash Conferences take their name from the location of the first meeting, which was held in 1957 in the village of Pugwash, Nova Scotia, Canada, the birthplace of the American philanthropist Cyrus Eaton, who hosted the meeting.

China in Hu's Colours - Part VII and Last

One does not wish for a military confrontation with China. It will not be in the interest of either country. However, if a confrontation comes about, it will be on the land and in the air across the land border and not in the seas.

(October, 30, Chennai, Sri Lanka Guardian) Economic and military strength go together. Without economic prosperity, there can be no military strength and without military strength, there can be no economic prosperity.

That was, in short, the theme of the observations of President Mr. Hu Jintao on China's defence policy in the report presented by him, in his capacity as the Party Secretary, to the recently-concluded 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC). He described the responsibility of the armed forces as to obey the party and serve the people. He called for national defence with Chinese characteristics and the continued implementation of the concept of Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) with Chinese characteristics. However, he did not explain what those Chinese characteristics are or should be.

He called for an integrated attempt to make the Armed Forces more revolutionary, modernised and standardised. He also called for the acceleration of the mechanisation and computerisation of the Armed Forces and said they should be made capable of winning IT-based warfare.

Mr. Hu said: "We are determined to safeguard China's sovereignty, security and territorial integrity and help maintain world peace." No one can object to this formulation provided the term territorial integrity means the integrity of the territory which constitutes China today. The problem which India faces in its relations with China arises from the fact that the Chinese speak of territorial integrity in the historical and not contemporary sense. Their concept of defence of territorial integrity includes not only the territory which is part of China today, but also which was, according to them, part of China historically and had been taken away from China by colonial powers. Under this category come India's Arunachal Pradesh and certain other territory in the Western sector of the Indian border.

While there was no reference to the not-forward-moving Sino-Indian border talks during and in the margins of the Party Congress, Indian media reported just before the Congress, recurring instances of innumerable border intrusions by the Chinese troops. Two of these incidents are of worrisome significance. The first was an intrusion into Bhutan and the second was about the Chinese raising a pro forma objection to the Indian construction of two military bunkers inside Indian territory in Sikkim.

Apparently in its ill-advised anxiety to avoid any public airing of concerns before the visit of Mrs. Sonia Gandhi, the President of the Congress (I), to China and the expected visit of the Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, to China later this year, the Government of India has sought to play down the implications of these intrusions and to project them as unintended consequences of the differing perceptions about the Line of Actual Control (LAC).

One lesson which India learnt from its experience of dealing with China before the Sino-Indian war of 1962 was the folly of treating Chinese transgressions as unintended. There has always been a method in China's transgressions, which are meant to assert periodically its territorial claims and exercise pressure on India to make territorial concessions.

Despite the positive spins put out by the Govt. of India from time to time about the progress supposedly being made in the border talks between the two countries, it is clear that the Chinese are determined to get satisfaction on their claims to what they project as southern Tibetan territory in Arunachal Pradesh. In fact, they look upon the entire Arunachal Pradesh as southern Tibet.

Their troops objecting to our Army constructing two bunkers in our territory in Sikkim cannot be dismissed as a minor incident of no consequence. The Chinese have de facto conceded Sikkim as a part of India by saying in 2005 that "Sikkim no longer constitutes a problem between the two countries." A de jure formalisation of this position will come only when the border talks lead to a settlement. Their renewed activism --- even if verbal--- on the border in the Sikkim area is an indicator that they might reverse their de facto concession on the status of Sikkim, if India does not transfer at least the Tawang Tract in Arunachal Pradesh to them. The Government of India will be repeating the pre-1962 follies if it relapses into the pre-1962 practice of playing down Chinese transgressions and volunteering to provide to the Chinese rationalisations of their transgressions.

In my previous articles, I had referred to the projected good behaviour of the Chinese in the months running up to the Olympics, but this has not prevented them from maintaining their campaign against the Dalai Lama and continuing with their policy of calculated border incursions to assert their claims. This underlines the need for our pressing ahead with our policy of military modernisation, improving our infrastructure in the border areas and revamping our intelligence apparatus so that it recovers the China-dedicated capabilities imparted to it after 1962, which have been allowed to rust since 2000.

One does not wish for a military confrontation with China. It will not be in the interest of either country. However, if a confrontation comes about, it will be on the land and in the air across the land border and not in the seas. In our eagerness to give a power projection capability to our Navy in the seas to the East of India, the Government should not be remiss in the exercise of its responsibility for giving the Army, the Air Force and the intelligence agencies the required capability for the protection of our territorial integrity.

Concluded

( B. Raman is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. He is also associated with the Chennai Centre For China Studies. E-mail: seventyone2@gmail.com)

Karannagoda participates in XVIII International Sea Power Symposium

Photo: Sri Lanka Navy Commander in conversation with US Navy Chief, Admiral Gary Roughead

(October, 30, Colombo, Sri Lanka Guardian) Commander of the Sri Lanka Navy, Vice Admiral Wasantha Karannagoda participated in the XVIII International Sea Power Symposium (ISS 18) held at the United States Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island in the United States of America from the 16th to 19th October 2007. The ISS 18 was attended by delegates from 65 countries.

The symposium provided a forum for maritime leaders around the globe to discuss issues of mutual interests and international maritime security. It also paved way for the creation and solidifying solutions within a global network of maritime nations to voluntarily harness the power of the International community in ways that are in the interest of individual nations in order to effectively and efficiently confront the common challenges and threats within the maritime domain. It also explored the ways of soliciting the individual nations’ thoughts on enhancing regional and international maritime security initiatives.

At the symposium, Sri Lanka Navy Commander called on the United States’ Chief of Naval Operations, Admiral Gary Roughead and had the opportunity of discussing issues related to the maritime security of the country and its territorial waters with the delegates attending the ISS 18. He also shared the experiences gained from the naval and humanitarian operations conducted by the Sri Lanka Navy with his co-participants.

Sri Lanka Navy Report

An Answer For Our World!

(October, 30, Geneva, Sri Lanka Guardian) Friends, I've stumbled upon the answer for our conflicted, dying world.

We should all permanently dress up as clowns: men, women and children! If that happened then no one would or could take themselves or anyone else seriously.

Imagine Gordon Brown or George Bush or John Howard or Putin dressed as per the photograph as they announced yet another invasion or false promise. People would fall about laughing.

Imagine the military dressed similarly, all the generals and admirals and marines. And what about the pretentious Bishops and Popes and the Wall Street Bankers and Media Moguls and Judges? What a hoot!

Besides, a clown outfit would truly represent what we humans really are: dumb!

LTTE Operating Four Air Strips

(October, 30, Colombo, Sri Lanka Guardian) The LTTE's Zlin light aircrafts have been detected by the existing Air Defence System (Radar) on several occasions, including the last attack on Anuradhapura Airbase. The lack of Anti Aircraft guns in each army detachment up to Anuradhapura has prevented ground forces challenging the two planes from proceeding to their target each time. They also seem to be avoiding flights over large Military Bases that are equipped with various types of AA guns (varieties cannot be revealed).

The Sri Lanka Army believes the LTTE is operating four airstrips at Iranamadu, Puthukudiiruppu, Nendunkerni and Mannar North. All four have been bombed in the past, including two hangars at Iranamadu, but the Zlin light-aircrafts had been moved from that location long before. The small aircrafts are capable of landing on hard surfaces, unlike the jet fighters of the SLAF. The Army believes the airplanes have detachable or swinging wings allowing them to be swiftly uploaded onto freight containers and transported to a safe location after each attack. They also believe the LTTE possesses two small choppers. All aircrafts operate at night, which indicates that the LTTE pilots have acquired night-flying capabilities assisted by Pilot Night Vision Systems.

Meanwhile a heartwarming account of a child soldier killed in a confrontation with the Army along the Vanni FDL has come to light. This child soldier, in a letter addressed to his mother had lamented his predicament citing the difficulties he face while in the LTTE on a daily basis. He had last remembered how his mother used to find a living for him and his younger sisters and brothers while working as a day labourer.

These and other stories from LTTE cadres along the Vanni FDL provide a contrast to the pomp and pageant in Kilinochchi following the LTTE's recent attack on the Anuradhapura Air Force base. They are in stark contrast to the images posted in pro-LTTE websites of motivated units marching to battle. In fact many new recruits posted along the FDL have started deserting the organization in the face of Army's limited bunker-busting operations along the Mannar-Vavuniya FDL and the heavy downpour brought on by the Monsoon.

Monitored radio communication indicated that senior and more seasoned cadres mixed in with the new recruits to prevent desertion and face Army onslaughts are complaining that the new recruits do not follow them into battle. As a result, LTTE units are unable to send reinforcements each time the Army attacks them and seem partially handicapped along the Vanni FDL. However, Military Intelligence sources indicated that the LTTE maybe preparing for a surprise attack as soon as the bad weather conditions ceased. With heavy downpour, the tanks, rivers and streams quickly fill up and provide natural debacles for infantry units on both sides.

- Defencewire Report

China in Hu's Colours -Part VI

Even while working with determination for making a success of the Olympics, the Chinese have already started thinking of ways of making Expo 2010 an equally spectacular success.

(October, 30, Chennai, Sri Lanka Guardian) In the Chinese perspective, a major success of China's international relations during the first tenure of President Hu Jintao as the Party Secretary was the close relations established with African countries in order to tap their energy resources and markets for Chinese goods and the China-Africa summit held in 2006.

Two more international events of even greater significance in their eyes are scheduled to take place during his second tenure. The first will be the Beijing Olympics of August, 2008, and the second will be Expo--2010, an ambitious international trade fair, which is to be held in Shanghai in 2010. Presently, much of the energy of the Party and the Government is devoted to making the Olympics a spectacular success, which, they hope, will enhance the image of China in the eyes of the international community and the image of the party leadership in the eyes of their people. Any mishap in the handling of the Olympics could damage the standing of not only Mr.Hu and Mr. Wen Jiabo, the Prime Minister, but also the entire Standing Committee of the Party Politburo, which was elected at the recent 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC),

Even while working with determination for making a success of the Olympics, the Chinese have already started thinking of ways of making Expo 2010 an equally spectacular success. As they go ahead with the preparations for the Olympics, three concerns keep bothering them:

Will Western human rights activists try to organise a boycott of the Olympics similar to the boycott of the 1980 Moscow Olympics by the Western countries in protest over the intervention of Soviet troops in Afghanistan? It is in this context that the human rights situations in Darfur in Sudan and Myanmar keep worrying them, because of their close involvement in both countries. While there is little likelihood of the Darfur situation providing a handle to the critics of China in the Western world, if the situation in Myanmar deteriorates badly in the months before the Olympics, this would definitely provide a handle to the critics of China interested in spoiling the Olympics. The Chinese were rattled by the recent demonstration of Buddhist monk power in Myanmar and the dissemination of dramatic images of that power through the Internet and world TV channels. Worried over its possible copy-cat effect on the monks of Tibet, they quickly nudged the military junta in Myanmar to come out of its diplomatic isolation and be more responsive to the concerns of the international community. They should have been relieved when the Junta effectively closed its Internet servers and prevented images of monk power being flashed across the world. The Chinese would be closely monitoring the situation in Myanmar in order to make sure it does not come in the way of a grand Olympics of their dreams.

Would there be threats to the Olympics not only from Al Qaeda and its associates, but also from the Tibetan activists, the Uighurs, the Falun Gong and others?
Could China face a situation similar to what South Korea faced after the 1988 Seoul Olympics when the relaxation of restrictions on the political freedoms of the people by the then dictatorship set in motion a train of events, which led to the end of dictatorship?

The Chinese are very keen to avoid any frictions in their relations with the US in the months before the Olympics. The co-operation of the US would facilitate the success of the Olympics. The US has the equipment, technology and know-how to prevent any threats from terrorism. The Chinese are aware of the role played by the US and other NATO countries in ensuring the security of the Athens Olympics of 2004. The Americans are already fully co-operating with the organisers of the Olympics in this regard. The Chinese have also reportedly enlisted the services of big names in Hollywood to choreograph a spectacular closing function, which would bring the best of Hollywood before the eyes of the Chinese spectators. They would not like this co-operation from the US to be affected by any misunderstanding.

While the US Government and its security agencies have been helping the Chinese in whatever way they can, Beijing is worried over the possible machinations of die-hard anti-China elements among right-wing American intellectuals, Christian missionaries and others. The Chinese do not want to underestimate their capacity for a political sabotage of the Olympics.

For the present, the present leadership under Mr.Hu is confident that nothing can come in the way of a successful and spectacular Olympics. Will their confidence be belied? If it is, Mr. Hu could face serious embarrassment, if not trouble, in the party.

To be continued.

(B. Raman is Additional secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. He is also associated with the Chennai Centre For China Studies. e-mail: seventyone2@gmail.com)

Expect the unexpected - Intelligence, brains, knowledge, self reliance and will power needed to survive

Anuradhapura Air Force Training Base attack

By Ben Silva

(October, 30, Sydney, Sri Lanka Guardian) We need intelligence, brains, knowledge, self reliance and will power to win the war against terrorists. We have to learn from past mistakes. In the case of Katunayake air force base attack, the tigers cut through the perimeter fence and destroyed planes on the ground.

My question is did we learn how to prevent similar attacks? We really have to learn from past mistakes, our history, from the history of others and from mistakes made by others. If we do not learn, the financial impact would be prohibitive.

This is where intelligence, brains, knowledge come in, to learn from past mistakes and the will power to move forward.

Any past incidents need to be analysed, documented and circulated amongst defence personnel so that lessons could be learnt. Even the public could learn from past mistakes. A knowledge of past mistakes must be essential to defence personnel.

For example, in UK we get persons to look at disasters such as Clapham rail crash, Zeebrugge, Potters bar, Gray’s Inn accidents so that lessons could be learnt.

In Sri Lanka, there should be analysis and documentation on all past incidents such as:Mullativu defence failure, Elephant pass failure, Katunayake failure, Anuradhapura failure.

The reports should made public, provided information sensitive to national security is not in the report, so that the public can learn from the mistakes.

The past mistakes and incidents need to be discussed amongst military and civil leaders, as well as ordinary serviceman, so as to get ideas about enhancing defence.

War games, simulations and brain storming sessions should be carried in order to eliminate similar incidents.

The Government has to be congratulated for establishing a defence Academy at University level and also for the formation of a company for Logistics and research. This is the first time it has been done, after centuries of foreign domination and sixty years after independence. Well done defence secretary, and hopefully we are in the correct path for self reliance. This is good news for Lanka, as we will not only save money paid as commission, a basic structure has been produced for self reliance.

What is now needed is development of this structure and for the structure to be filled by competent individuals. In the past, individuals made lot of money with little effort, from commissions in arms procurement. These people made money from the suffering of the nation.

The masses need to be informed and educated about the real situation in Sri Lanka .They need to be told the truth that unless the Sinhalese get united and act, the Sinhalese would in the path for extinction. We have to say ‘No’ to Tamil racism and ‘No’ to racism in any form and all Sri Lankans should work together for the benefit of all.

Intruder alarm systems could easily be developed by local engineers. This would benefit the local economy as well as develop the skills base of Sri Lankans. Again, like all defence work, a high level of secrecy and security is needed.

In a rapidly developing world, we have to keep up with the technology, so as not to be left behind. Indians have managed rapid development in technology due to self reliance. We need to make partnerships with foreign friends so that we no not fall behind technology. Joint ventures with foreign friends should be the way forward.

What action may be taken?

(1) Study and analyse past incidents and security lapses and learn lessons. Document and circulate results amongst all concerned.

(2) Create a sterile buffer area around the air bases, Naval bases and other important places so that no one is able to approach an important location or Naval craft or Military assets without detection. A range of 3000m has been suggested by others. Suitable independent detection systems with redundancy, using different technologies, must be used to detect intruders. The detection systems must be independent and should work even if one or two systems fail. Local Engineers should be capable of developing such systems.

(3) Carry out regular war games and simulations.

(4) Have contingency plans.

(5) Have underground bunkers and other means in the bases so that even if intruders manage to break in, the intruders can be disabled.

(6) Have means of hiding or camouflaging military assets, including planes.

(7) Have underground bunkers or other secure means for air craft.

(8) Study the National defence structures and procedures in countries such as USA, Israel, and China and learn from their structures and procedures.

(9) Establish an independent National security panel, where the members are from different fields and are capable of lateral thinking. The panel members should be able to look at systems critically and should be able to spot holes in a defence system. Enable Patriots to feed in suggestions by email, post etc. There has to be a proper communication Channel between the defence establishment and the public who may wish to be helpful.

(10) Recognise that wisdom of many is better than the wisdom of one. Those in the defence industry, what ever the level read current and past literature on war, read e-media such as Lankaweb, Asian Tribune, SPUR , Jane’s defence that carry relevant articles. It is important to recognise that Knowledge and strategic thinking is important for defence.

(11) Establish Joint ventures with foreign friends, in the defence field, to keep the cost down. This is nothing to be ashamed of and we should be able to discuss joint ventures frankly and honestly with friends, as a means of keeping the costs down and developing our skills. Ties with foreign friends would improve cultural links as well. Think Globally and act locally. Self reliance is needed to keep he costs down. Self reliance will help local economy as well as help to develop skills.

(12) Drop leaflets in Wanni to counter LTTE propaganda and indicate that we are all Sri Lankans and should work together, for the benefit of all. We need education to stop the suicide bombers, who may be just brainwashed individuals. Tamils themselves need to take a lead in this area.

(13) Expect the unexpected. This is where war games, brain storming and simulation becomes essential. It is likely that LTTE is meticulously planning another attack. We need some one to simulate LTTE and predict what they would do. It will enable the defence establishment to be prepared. It is important to attack LTTE before their plans become a reality, so that action is taking place on our terms and not on the planning of LTTE. This is a situation that needs intelligence, brains, knowledge and a structured businesslike professional approach. I understand that Americans used simulations extensively during the IRAQ war.

China in Hu’s Colour – Part V

The point, which was repeatedly stressed by Party spokesmen and others in the briefings before the Party Congress and in the margins of the Congress was that the CPC plays an important role in foreign policy formulation and often acts as a facilitator of good relations even in times of difficulty through its networking with parties in other countries.

(October, 30, Chennai, Sri Lanka Guardian)
In the days preceding the 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the State Council Information Office and the party offices had organised a series of briefings for the local media to explain what they projected as the important role played by the party in facilitating international diplomacy by the State. Some of the interesting points from these briefings are given below:

Mr. Zhang Zhijun, deputy head in the International Department of the Party Central Committee: "The Foreign Ministry might be the symbol of Chinese diplomacy for many, but the International Department of the Communist Party of China (CPC) is playing an equally important role on the global diplomatic stage. The Party is becoming more active in developing relations with overseas political parties through the CPC Central Committee International Department. The CPC's diplomatic work is an important component of the country's diplomacy. The Party has forged relations with about 400 political parties or organizations in more than 160 countries and regions. Those parties include Communist or socialist parties as well as right-wing or centrist organizations; and some are in countries that do not have diplomatic relations with China. The CPC does not take into account differences in ideologies or political systems in party diplomacy while striving to establish and develop exchanges and cooperation with foreign parties. When Sino-Japanese ties hit a nadir in 2004 due to Japan's whitewashing of atrocities committed during World War II, the CPC initiated a ruling party exchange mechanism with two rounds of meetings to tackle those thorny problems. The exchanges between the CPC and the Workers' Party of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) facilitated the settlement of the Korean Peninsula nuclear issue. The two parties had regular exchanges in various areas and through diversified channels, and held in-depth discussions on international and regional issues, which have helped maintain peace and stability in Northeast Asia and properly settle the nuclear issue. The CPC will become more active in party diplomacy after the 17th National Congress. The CPC should not be blamed for failing to develop ties with the two major U.S. political parties. The CPC always handles the relations with American political parties with an open mind and is willing to establish exchanges and promote ties with the U.S. political parties, including the Democratic Party and the Republican Party based on CPC's four basic principles for party relations."

Mr. Liu Jiangyong, Dean of the Institute of International Studies at Tsinghua University: "Such a broad relationship between the CPC and overseas parties helps the country settle some problems where government diplomacy faces challenges. It also helps promote a better understanding of China and maintain long-term contacts despite frequent power changes."

In the last week of September,2007, a delegation of the US Foreign Policy Council headed by Mr. Robert McFarlane, who was National Security Adviser to President Ronald Reagan in the 1980s, had visited Beijing and met Government and party officials to discuss Sino-US relations on the eve of the Party Congress. Mr. Wang Jiarui, the head of the International Department of the CPC Central Committee, said after a meeting with the visiting US delegation: " China is ready to enhance mutual understanding and strengthen cooperation with the United States. China attaches great importance to China-U.S. relationship and is ready to make joint efforts with the U.S. to enhance mutual understanding and strengthen cooperation. The two held positive views towards the steady development of the China-U.S. relations in recent years. Both sides should implement the consensus reached by the two Heads of State on comprehensively promoting China-U.S. constructive and cooperative ties in the 21st century, and to respect the concerns of each other and stick to peaceful diplomatic manner in promoting the settlement of international and regional issues."

The Chinese media quoted Mr. McFarlane as saying as follows after the meeting: "China is emerging as a world power with increasing international influence and has played an active role in international and regional disputes. The U.S. political parties, no matter which will win the election, will all strategically attach great importance to the relationship with China and continue to maintain, deepen and expand the U.S.-China relationship." The Xinhua news agency reported that the two also exchanged views on such questions as the Iranian nuclear issue, the Korean Peninsula nuclear issue and energy security.

The point, which was repeatedly stressed by Party spokesmen and others in the briefings before the Party Congress and in the margins of the Congress was that the CPC plays an important role in foreign policy formulation and often acts as a facilitator of good relations even in times of difficulty through its networking with parties in other countries. They highlighted the examples of North Korea and Japan. A greater freedom of discussion is possible during party-to-party interactions than during diplomatic interactions and this helps the State. In this connection, the visit of a delegation of India's Congress (I) led by Mrs. Sonia Gandhi immediately after the Party Congress was as important as the visit of an American delegation a fortnight before it.

Having said that, it has to be noted that there were specific references to Sino-Indian relations in the briefings before and during the session of the National People's Congress held in March,2007. There were no such references before and during the Party Congress, but there have been positive references before and during the visits of Mrs. Sonia Gandhi and Shri Pranab Mukherjee, India's Foreign Minister, to China to participate in the India-China-Russia Foreign Ministers' meeting.

Just as Mr. Hu Jintao, in his dual capacity as the President of China and the Party General Secretary, has been trying to promote a new economic development model with equal attention to the people, the natural resources and the environment, he has been trying to promote a new model of diplomacy, whose characteristics are a non-confrontational approach, avoidance of rhetoric which might create tensions, patience in dealing with long-standing problems and a greater sensitivity to the concerns of the international community on issues such as North Korea's nuclear capability and human rights in Myanmar and the Sudan. Is this merely a tactical change in order not to foul the atmosphere before next year's Beijing Olympics or does it indicate a durable change which would continue even after the Olympics? One can find an answer only after the Olympics.

Some of the points stressed by Mr. Hu in relation to China's foreign policy in his report to the Congress are:
China cannot develop in isolation from the rest of the world, nor can the world enjoy prosperity and stability without China. China follows a national defense policy that is defensive in nature, and it does not engage in an arms race or pose a military threat to any other country. China opposes all forms of hegemonism and power politics and will never seek hegemony or engage in expansion. Politically, all countries should respect each other and conduct consultations on an equal footing in a common endeavor to promote democracy in international relations.

The importance of the application of the principles of democracy in the conduct of international relations was a point stressed by him. It was a hint to the US to practise democracy in its relations with other countries before it preaches democracy to other countries in the conduct of their internal affairs.

While there were no specific references to Sino-Indian relations during the Congress, some points need to be underlined on the basis of informal interactions with non-governmental Chinese scholars:

While these scholars do not rule out a flexible policy by Beijing in relation to support for India at the Nuclear Suppliers' Group on the question of relaxing restrictions on nuclear commerce with India, they seem skeptic of the likelihood of a similar flexibility on the question of the future of Tawang in Arunachal Pradesh. While Sino-Indian trade continues to gallop towards the target of a bilateral trade value of US $ 30 billion, there could be speed-breakers after the Olympics. Presently, nearly 60 per cent of India's exports to China consist of iron ore. The Chinese steel industry has been buying a lot of iron ore all over the word to meet the steel requirements for the construction activity related to the Olympics. The demand for iron ore may come down after the Olympics. The small and medium-scale steel enterprises in China, which had mushroomed during the days of Mao Zedong, contribute considerably to the high level of pollution. The Chinese have been thinking of re-structuring their steel industry in order to eliminate these polluters. If and when this happens, this could reduce the Chinese demand for Indian iron ore, since these small and medium enterprises are important buyers of the cheaper-priced Indian ore.

There is some satisfaction in Chinese academic circles over what seems to be a liberalisation in India's policy regarding students' visas. Recently, a group of about 100 Chinese students is reported to have arrived in Vellore in Tamil Nadu to study computer technology in a local institution. In the past, Indian IT companies with offices in China were getting IT experts from India to work in their offices in China. Now, to reduce their expenditure, they have reportedly started recruiting young Chinese, getting them trained in India and then employing them in China. Some Chinese analysts have also recommended the adoption of what is described as a "silver hair policy"---- that is, recruit retired Indian IT experts and take them to China to train young Chinese in China itself.

(To be continued)

(B.Raman is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. He is also associated with the Chennai Centre For China Studies. E-mail: seventyone2@gmail.com)

England ‘Should Split from Scots’

By: John Higginson

(October,30, London, Sri Lanka Guardian) A Third of English voters believe the country should split from Scotland.

Support for breaking the union is now at 33 per cent, a poll shows-up two pints on a similar survey from a year ago.

Scotland’s First Minister Alex Salmond, said the nations needed ‘ a new 21st-century relationship’.

The nationalist leader added: ‘The movement towards independence north of the Boarder is reflected south of the Border. Scottish independence means English independence too.’

And there appears to be greater support for separation among the English, as research in August revealed just 23 per cent of people in Scotland favoured going it alone.

But the latest poll, by the Mail on Sunday newspaper, also showed 55 per cent of English voters want to keep the union.

Asked if they felt they would be better off financially without Scotland, 22 percent said yes while 60 percent said it would make no difference.

Scotland Office minister David Cairns said findings showed separation remained minority view.

He accused Mr Salmond of ‘trying to provoke England into an anti-Scottish backlash’.

Mr Cairns said voters ‘recognise that we are stronger together and weaker apart’.

Photo: Scotland’s First Minister and Scottish National Party Leader Alex Salmond

Courtesy: Metro (London)

India is clear in its support to the Sri Lankan Government -Cmde. R.S.Vasan

An Exclusive Interview with Commodore R.S. Vasan Indian Navy (Retd)

(October, 29, Colombo, Sri Lanka Guardian) Commodore RS Vasan IN Retd has rendered distinguished military service of over 34 years .His shore assignments include command of two naval air stations, Maritime Air Squadron, Air Crew Examiner, member of the faculty at the College of Naval Warfare and Chief Staff Officer of the Southern Naval Command at Kochin.

He commanded a patrol vessel for the IPKF. Prior to his retirement he was the Regional Commander of the Eastern Region of the Indian Coast Guard. Presently he is steering the Maritime Security Programme at the Observer Research Foundation a major Indian think-tank.

By: Nilantha Ilangamuwa with Commodore RS Vasan (Retd)

Q. Could you please explain to us the current political and military developments in Sri Lanka and their implications?

A. For any observer and analyst it would be quite clear that the SL military has an upper hand now despite some daring attacks of the Anuradhapura kind by the LTTE. The LTTE undoubtedly is militarily weak. However, any additional pressure applied by the SL Military would invite more such suicidal attacks by the black tigers. It is perhaps the ripe time to ensure that there is some kind of concrete acceptable proposal that is both face saving for the LTTE and is practical enough to be considered and speedily implemented. If this time were missed out, the agony of this struggle would be prolonged. Both Sri Lanka and the LTTE would then be responsible for not utilizing the opportunity to break the ice.

Q. Who in your opinion are the persons with responsibility for the growth of military capabilities within the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam?

A. This question has answers in the historical aspects of whatever has happened since the struggle for Eelam began. The impressive growth in the initial stages is obviously due to the massive support received from expatriate Tamils in Western countries. The LTTE leadership was well aware of the need to strengthen its capability primarily at sea, then land and of course in the air dimension. If it was the late Mr. Balasingham who orchestrated the cause and found support in the UK and the EU, closer home, it was the team of KP, late Kittu, Soosai, Colonel Shankar ably guided by Mr Prabhakaran himself.

Activities of KP in procuring high-end technology weapons and sensors are too well known to bear repetition. If he succeeded it was also largely due to both the easy availability of military hardware from diverse sources across the globe at that time. It was also possible to procure second hand ships to be registered as Flags of Convenience (FOC) to promote both legal and illegal sea trade. The primary market apparently remained in the Southeastern countries.

As per reports, money came from donations, taxes, extortion and even drug trafficking. It must be acknowledged that the LTTE has outsmarted its adversary in the past by thinking out of the box and coming out with innovative ways to deal with the SL Military and the Government. The LTTE by and large scouted for highly sophisticated equipment to outwit the security forces. The break up of the Soviet Union and the Afghan war also threw up many sources for illegal arms procurement.

The only reason why it is becoming increasingly difficult for the LTTE to procure freely and transport essentially required military hardware is the scenario post- 9/11. This has brought in so many restrictive regimes across the globe that it has become difficult if not impossible to continue in the same manner for procurement of essential and critical military hardware. The implementation of security regimes such as the International Ship and Port Security code (ISPS) in July 2004, Maritime Security Operations (MSO), Regional Maritime Security Initiatives (RMSI), Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), and Container Security Initiative has succeeded in plugging loopholes in the entire maritime domain where mischiefs are better detected and handled. In addition the strict surveillance control on financial transactions of large-scale has rendered it difficult for such transactions to go unnoticed.

Q. What exactly is the air threat that seems to have sent a shiver down the spines of the countries of South Asia?

A. First of all it must be understood that the air assets that the LTTE has acquired are not of the highly sophisticated variety nor do they have high payload carrying capacity to make a difference. The aircraft as now established are the Czeck built Zlin 142, which has been modified to undertake both night missions and attack missions. The dropping of a few hundred pound bombs on three occasions has unnerved the observers. Acquisition of air capability does add a new dimension to the ongoing warfare. However, the limited numbers and the type of aircraft do not pose such grave danger. The aircraft procured are no match for the SLAF. The only reason for the success is some excellent planning based on sound intelligence and well coordinated simultaneous /advance ground commando operations as in the case of the recent attack on Anuradha pura.

Q. What are the weaknesses of Government of Sri Lanka from the perspective of their own security?

A. From the military point of view, in fact the Sri Lankan military is in a much better position today due to the sustained operations against the LTTE, which have nullified the claim of invincibility of the LTTE. However, any conventional military would suffer losses due to the guerilla operations once in a while. The aspect of suicide attacks has the most damaging effect on the military as such attacks are dramatic and cause extensive damage to life and property.

The suicide squads as in Iraq are already ready to die so they are not inhibited by the nature of the target or terrain or other obstacles. On the part of the LTTE this would continue to bring down the number of able-bodied youth who can sustain the guerilla operations or suicide missions.

Q. One day you mentioned that the aircrews of the LTTE would have been trained abroad in one of the flying schools. Can you tell us more about the skills of the LTTE aircrews and when and where they might have finished their training?

A. Acquiring basic flying skills to fly the type of aircraft acquired by the LTTE is relatively an easy task. Any of the flying schools today could train an aspirant to fly an aircraft in a matter of months if not weeks. However, the consolidation of flying skills and particularly night flying skills would require little more application and training. The ingenuity of the LTTE in modifying a simple aircraft for use against well-defended targets needs to be appreciated.

As I have brought out elsewhere, it is clear that the foundations laid for the growth of the air tigers by late Col Shankar are really strong. Due to the spurt in aviation growth worldwide, there has been a proliferation of aviation training schools in the US, Canada, South Africa, Australia, Singapore, Southeastern countries and many more corners of the world. After acquiring the basic skills some advanced training to meet the standards set by air tigers could be undertaken in any of the flying schools on payment.

Q. So many times the Sri Lanka Air Force has been found to use Israel made K-Fir in bombing LTTE areas. Also they have claimed to destroy LTTE military targets. What do you think of their Air Strikes against the LTTE? Are they effective?

A. The success of any air attack is dependent on the precise knowledge of the targets and enemy movement at the time of such attacks. In addition the training level of the air crew, the capability of the aircraft and the enemy’s air defence would decide, indeed largely dictate the success or otherwise of an air mission. The SLAF has been successful on many of the missions undertaken. Both the Kfirs and the Migs are good aircraft and have the potential to take on identified targets. There would be always claims and counterclaims about the efficacy and effectiveness of the attacks. It is clear that the SLAF has made a great difference to the course of the war against LTTE which has not been able to shore up its anti-aircraft capability. The skies are virtually ruled by the SLAF.

Q. What are the differences between LTTE Air Wing attacks and Sri Lanka Air Force Attacks?

A. The difference essentially in the nature of attacks. The attacks by the SLAF are largely conventional against targets identified for attack. Such identification could be based on intelligence, surveillance and or on request of the ground forces that are advancing. The Air tigers have been innovative, motivated, daring in their exploits and yet extremely careful thus far in preventing neutralization of their assets both in the air and on the ground.
08. LTTE have for the first time used Black Tigers and their light aircraft together in their latest attack on the Air Force base in Anuradhapura. Is there any significance to this?

This is what led to the success of the LTTE. The rest of the world was led to believe in the initial stages that it was the air attack of the LTTE that destroyed the aircraft and helicopters on the ground. It is only some hours later that the actual picture emerged. It just brought out the excellent way in which this attack was planned. The destruction of the aircraft was on the ground by the commandos of LTTE and not by the air attacks. The aircraft arrived on the scene only after the commandos were in control and had given a green signal for the aircraft to attack. In fact, after the success of the black tigers, which caused such extensive damage, the air attack would be viewed by the LTTE itself as only an icing on the cake in an operation that was executed to perfection.

Q. Please comment on the government of Sri Lanka’s implementing strategy behind the war against the LTTE .

A. As I have indicated earlier in an answer to another question, at this time, militarily the Sri Lanka Military has an upper hand. From that point of view, the Government has succeeded in weakening the LTTE. The strategy was essential if the Government had to negotiate from a position of strengthen. In the past it has been observed that the LTTE normally comes to the negotiating table only if it is perceived to be in a powerful position. It is necessary therefore to avoid a stalemate situation. However, the present spate of successes should only pave way for a dialogue that would enable some devolution of power and cessation of hostilities so that Sri Lanka can concentrate on its welfare, social and economic progress of all its integrated citizens.

Q. Can Government of Sri Lanka ever annihilate the LTTE?

A. Theoretically yes. However, this is something that is not dependent on the SL Government alone. As long as there is support for the Tamil cause, however weak, it would be difficult. There is perhaps a need to allow the LTTE to change its face and give it an opportunity to participate in the political process. There is a misconception that the LTTE alone represents the viewpoint of all the Tamils. This is hardly the position. Other moderates who are willing to bring about peace by other alternative methods need to be encouraged.

Q. Please comment on India’s role in Sri Lanka under the present situation? Is India playing any role at all? How should India’s position change?

A. India has looked at this as an internal problem to be sorted out by the Sri Lankans themselves. Despite some voices of support from some political parties in Tami Nadu, the ruling party is not interested in supporting the LTTE which itself stands banned in India. There is definitely lot of behind the scene activity to facilitate the process of normalization. As long as the LTTE is at the head of the political process, India would not be in a position to accept a mediatory role even if invited. It would choose to support the actions of the SL Government to come out with a package that would protect the interests of the Tamils in a united unified Sri Lanka without any division.

India is clear in its support to the Sri Lankan Government on the need to find a solution soon. India can only wait and watch while the elected Government in Sri Lanka headed by the President is indirectly helped to expedite the peace process.